Urine Nitrite — Urinary Tract Infection

Test Characteristics

Metric Value
False-negative rate 65% (sensitivity 35%)
False-positive rate 4% (specificity 96%)
Bayes factor (positive test) 10×
Bayes factor (negative test) 1/1.5×
Base rate 50% of women presenting with urinary symptoms

Interpreting Results

Scenario Prior + Result − Result
Woman with dysuria and frequency 50% 10 × 50% ≥ 100%50%× 10100% 1/1.5 × 50% = 33%
Asymptomatic incidental finding 5% 10 × 5% = 50%5%× 1050% 1/1.5 × 5% = 3.3%

10 × 50% ≥ 100%50%× 10100%: exact posterior is 91%. Negative-test exact posterior at 50% prior is 40% (simple approximation gives 33%). Positive is strong, but the test misses 65% of UTIs. Negative is nearly useless (1/1.5×).

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